AFL | GRAFT Ratings

Welcome back to GRAFT Ratings for 2026.

Nearly there!

Tips correct: 139 / 198 (70.2%)

Correct by round: 3 7 4 6 4 5 7 7 7 9 5 5 3 4 5 5 5 5 8 6 8 6 6 9
GRAFT Margin of Error: 26.4
Mean score: 88.5 - Score 100+: 124 (31%)
Mean margin: 31.8 - Goal or less: 35 - Ten goals or more: 30 - Wins with less scoring shots: 3
Flips: 16 - post-match ratings flip GRAFT's pre-game prediction

Club Profiles

Club Ratings

		rating	net	attack	defence	swing		xwins	off tend
1	FRE	114.9	+27.4	+12.6	+14.8	-0.4		19.6	-2.2
2	GEE	110.5	+23.0	+17.6	+5.4	-2.2		14.9	+12.3
3	SYD	109.9	+22.4	+20.8	+1.6	-1.7		17.8	+19.1
4	BRL	106.8	+19.3	+18.5	+0.8	+1.9		15.5	+17.7
5	MEL	101.9	+14.4	+15.4	-0.9	+6.5	▲3	15.6	+16.3
6	HAW	100.2	+12.7	+8.5	+4.2	-0.5	▼1	15.7	+4.3
7	ADE	99.6	+12.0	+5.6	+6.4	+0.4	▼1	14.7	-0.7
8	COL	96.3	+8.8	+5.1	+3.7	+0.5	▼1	13.5	+1.4
9	CAR	93.2	+5.7	+1.0	+4.7	-0.8		11.9	-3.7
10	GWS	88.3	+0.7	-0.3	+1.1	+1.3		10.3	-1.4
11	WBD	86.8	-0.7	-5.9	+5.2	+0.8		12.9	-11.1
12	STK	85.8	-1.8	-2.7	+0.9	+1.8		10.6	-3.6
13	GCO	80.2	-7.3	-3.8	-3.5	-1.9		8.4	-0.3
14	NME	78.2	-9.4	-2.8	-6.6	+2.2		9.2	+3.8
15	PAD	66.2	-21.3	-15.2	-6.1	-6.5		6.6	-9.1
16	WCE	56.8	-30.7	-17.3	-13.4	-1.3		4.3	-4.0
17	RIC	51.5	-36.0	-25.8	-10.2	-1.8		3.1	-15.6
18	ESS	48.2	-39.3	-23.1	-16.2	+1.7		2.4	-6.9

Ladder

		p	w	d	l	pts	pf	pa	%	am
1	FRE	22	19	-	3	76	2204	1547	142.5	+29.9
2	SYD	22	17	-	5	68	2420	1799	134.5	+28.2
3	BRL	22	15	-	7	60	2340	1958	119.5	+17.4
4	HAW	22	14	2	6	60	2153	1836	117.3	+14.4
5	MEL	22	15	-	7	60	2214	1991	111.2	+10.1
6	GEE	22	14	-	8	56	2222	1849	120.2	+17.0
7	ADE	22	14	-	8	56	2012	1748	115.1	+12.0
8	COL	22	12	2	8	52	1925	1814	106.1	+5.0
9	WBD	22	12	1	9	50	1793	1905	94.1	-5.1
10	CAR	22	11	1	10	46	1888	1896	99.6	-0.4
11	STK	22	10	-	12	40	1950	1871	104.2	+3.6
12	GWS	22	10	-	12	40	1972	1948	101.2	+1.1
13	NME	22	9	-	13	36	1862	2052	90.7	-8.6
14	GCO	22	8	-	14	32	1908	2048	93.2	-6.4
15	PAD	22	6	-	16	24	1698	1953	86.9	-11.6
16	WCE	22	4	-	18	16	1580	2226	71.0	-29.4
17	RIC	22	3	-	19	12	1407	2240	62.8	-37.9
18	ESS	22	2	-	20	8	1506	2373	63.5	-39.4

Projections

		wins	%	first	top 2	top 4	top 6	wild	spoon
1	FRE	19.6	140.8	100.0	100.0	100.0	100.0	-	-
2	SYD	17.8	134.8	-	100.0	100.0	100.0	-	-
3	HAW	15.7	117.8	-	-	75.4	93.4	6.6	-
4	BRL	15.5	118.5	-	-	54.0	94.1	5.9	-
5	GEE	14.9	121.8	-	-	28.2	92.3	7.7	-
6	MEL	15.6	111.3	-	-	40.2	77.4	22.6	-
7	ADE	14.7	115.4	-	-	2.2	42.8	57.2	-
8	COL	13.5	105.9	-	-	-	-	100.0	-
9	WBD	12.9	93.8	-	-	-	-	100.0	-
10	CAR	11.9	99.2	-	-	-	-	100.0	-
11	STK	10.6	104.7	-	-	-	-	-	-
12	GWS	10.3	100.3	-	-	-	-	-	-
13	NME	9.2	89.7	-	-	-	-	-	-
14	GCO	8.4	92.8	-	-	-	-	-	-
15	PAD	6.6	87.7	-	-	-	-	-	-
16	WCE	4.3	71.2	-	-	-	-	-	-
17	RIC	3.1	62.6	-	-	-	-	-	39.3
18	ESS	2.4	64.5	-	-	-	-	-	60.7
Run with last game played: R23 ESS v SYD 16 Aug

AFL Round 23 : 14-16 August

Perth Stadium				Fri 14 Aug · 8:10pm
	rt	par	win	result			swing	new rt
Fremantle	+27.8	96.6	72%	16	16	112	-0.4	+27.4
Adelaide	+11.6	68.5	27%	13	10	88	+0.4	+12.0
Tip: Fremantle by 28				Fremantle by 24 ✔

Melbourne Cricket Ground				Sat 15 Aug · 12:35pm
	rt	par	win	result			swing	new rt
Richmond	-34.2	64.8	25%	6	9	45	-1.8	-36.0
St Kilda	-3.6	95.3	74%	14	10	94	+1.8	-1.8
Tip: St Kilda by 31				St Kilda by 49 ✔

Docklands Stadium, Melbourne				Sat 15 Aug · 3:45pm
	rt	par	win	result			swing	new rt
North Melbourne	-11.5	71.7	22%	17	8	110	+2.2	-9.4
Geelong	+25.2	108.4	77%	19	11	125	-2.2	+23.0
Tip: Geelong by 37				Geelong by 15 ✔

The Gabba, Brisbane				Sat 15 Aug · 4:15pm
	rt	par	win	result			swing	new rt
Brisbane Lions	+17.4	113.1	67%	14	11	95	+1.9	+19.3
Gold Coast	-5.4	90.4	32%	6	17	53	-1.9	-7.3
Tip: Brisbane Lions by 23				Brisbane Lions by 42 ✔

Melbourne Cricket Ground				Sat 15 Aug · 7:40pm
	rt	par	win	result			swing	new rt
Hawthorn	+13.1	92.4	53%	13	14	92	-0.5	+12.7
Collingwood	+8.3	87.6	46%	13	14	92	+0.5	+8.8
Tip: Hawthorn by 5				Match Drawn ?

Adelaide Oval				Sat 15 Aug · 8:10pm
	rt	par	win	result			swing	new rt
Port Adelaide	-14.7	85.1	41%	8	8	56	-6.5	-21.3
Melbourne	+7.9	95.7	58%	20	12	132	+6.5	+14.4
Tip: Melbourne by 11				Melbourne by 76 ✔

Sydney Showground				Sun 16 Aug · 1:40pm
	rt	par	win	result			swing	new rt
GWS Giants	-0.6	105.4	80%	16	15	111	+1.3	+0.7
West Coast	-29.4	64.6	19%	7	15	57	-1.3	-30.7
Tip: GWS Giants by 41				GWS Giants by 54 ✔

Docklands Stadium, Melbourne				Sun 16 Aug · 3:15pm
	rt	par	win	result			swing	new rt
Western Bulldogs	-1.5	75.7	43%	12	10	82	+0.8	-0.7
Carlton	+6.5	83.7	56%	12	10	82	-0.8	+5.7
Tip: Carlton by 8				Match Drawn ?

Melbourne Cricket Ground				Sun 16 Aug · 4:40pm
	rt	par	win	result			swing	new rt
Essendon	-41.0	67.0	14%	11	10	76	+1.7	-39.3
Sydney Swans	+24.1	120.1	85%	17	10	112	-1.7	+22.4
Tip: Sydney Swans by 53				Sydney Swans by 36 ✔

AFL Round 24 : 20-23 August

Docklands Stadium, Melbourne				Thu 20 Aug · 7:30pm
	rt	par	win	result	swing	new rt
St Kilda	-1.8	94.3	64%
Gold Coast	-7.3	76.8	35%
Tip: St Kilda by 18

Melbourne Cricket Ground				Fri 21 Aug · 7:40pm
	rt	par	win	result	swing	new rt
Collingwood	+8.8	97.8	51%
Brisbane Lions	+19.3	96.3	48%
Tip: Collingwood by 2

Docklands Stadium, Melbourne				Sat 22 Aug · 1:15pm
	rt	par	win	result	swing	new rt
Carlton	+5.7	79.7	41%
Fremantle	+27.4	89.4	57%
Tip: Fremantle by 10

Melbourne Cricket Ground				Sat 22 Aug · 4:15pm
	rt	par	win	result	swing	new rt
Melbourne	+14.4	97.7	62%
Western Bulldogs	-0.7	82.6	37%
Tip: Melbourne by 15

Kardinia Park, Geelong				Sat 22 Aug · 7:45pm
	rt	par	win	result	swing	new rt
Geelong	+23.0	115.4	89%
Richmond	-36.0	56.3	11%
Tip: Geelong by 59

Adelaide Oval				Sat 22 Aug · 8:10pm
	rt	par	win	result	swing	new rt
Adelaide	+12.0	98.1	68%
GWS Giants	+0.7	74.8	31%
Tip: Adelaide by 23

Docklands Stadium, Melbourne				Sun 23 Aug · 12:20pm
	rt	par	win	result	swing	new rt
Essendon	-39.3	76.5	44%
Port Adelaide	-21.3	82.6	55%
Tip: Port Adelaide by 6

Sydney Cricket Ground				Sun 23 Aug · 3:20pm
	rt	par	win	result	swing	new rt
Sydney Swans	+22.4	120.9	80%
North Melbourne	-9.4	77.1	19%
Tip: Sydney Swans by 44

Perth Stadium				Sun 23 Aug · 7:20pm
	rt	par	win	result	swing	new rt
West Coast	-30.7	72.0	25%
Hawthorn	+12.7	103.4	74%
Tip: Hawthorn by 31