Showing posts with label Bowl Previews. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Bowl Previews. Show all posts

Monday, January 7, 2008

Bowl Previews and Predictions: BCS Bowl

BCS Bowl

Background:
Ohio State leads the All-Time Series, 1-0-1. They have not met since 1987.

Ohio State: Win Against Michigan
Lousiana State: Win Against Tennessee

Ohio State Advantages:
They tore through the Big Ten, and only lost to Illinois in a close one.
Looking for revenge, as they were destroyed by Florida in the last BCS Championship Game.
They have the #1 Defense in the nation.
LB Laurinaitis leads the team with 5 sacks, 2 INTs, and 103 Tackles.
CB Malcolm Jenkins has 3 INTs.
The offense is lead by 23 TD 12 INT QB Todd Boeckman.
Chris Wells propelled the ground game with 1,463 yards and 14 touchdowns.
Brian Robiskie helped Ohio State with 885 receiving yards and 10 TDs.
They actually have go to guys, which may help them in the long run.

Ohio State Disadvantages:
The Big Ten has been incredibly weak this year, and Ohio State has really no power wins inside the Top 20.
Their defense should be taken with a grain of salt when compared to their schedule.

Louisiana State Advantages:
Played rather well through a grueling SEC schedule. Won against the likes of Virginia Tech, South Carolina, Florida, Auburn, Alabama, and Tennessee.
They play rather well in late game situations, with Les Miles sometimes being an evil genius (credit to OKLuschen for the term).
They employ a 2-QB system, so an injury to a QB won't affect them as much.
They use 4 Running backs, the leader of which is 1,017 yard rusher Jacob Hester.
They also have a deep recieving core also, lead by 641 yarder Brandon LaFell.
Uhm....their team is stacked at all positions?
They have the nations Bronco Nagurski, Glenn Dorsey. He has 6 sacks and 11 1/2 tackles.

Louisiana State Disadvantages:
Weak losses to Kentucky and Arkansas. They could have lost to better teams.
Have had a number of close calls.
Les Miles carrazy play calls may just lead to his demise.

Writer Predictions:

Jason Frost: LSU. This will be a closer game then people expect, yet the talent edge and home field advantage will prove to much for Ohio State as the Vest loses another championship game 31-24.

OKLuschen: LSU. I really wanna go Ohio State here, but I can't deny the Bayou Bengal talent edge. Glenn Dorsey is back in business and this LSU defense is bigger and stronger than any Ohio State has seen all season, not to mention faster, which is the constant Achille's Heel for the Big Ten. I got the Tigers, but in a game closer than last years demolition.

Zorgon: LSU. These teams are so statisticially similar....it's almost possbile to discern. But in the end, Les Miles superior coaching, LSUs superior depth, and their superior schedule will pull through in the end. LSU wins in a nail-biter.

Bottom Line: Ohio State 0, Louisiana State 3

Sunday, January 6, 2008

Bowl Previews and Predictions: GMAC Bowl

GMAC Bowl (Pronounced Gee-Mack, not Gee-emm-ay-cee)


Background:
Tulsa leads the all-time series, 1-0. The game was a 45-10 win at home in 1989.


Tulsa: Loss to UCF after 5 game tear through Conference USA
Bowling Green: 4 Game tear through the Mid-American Conference


Tulsa Advantages:
Tulsa has the best offense in the nation yards per game wise.
QB Paul Smith may be a midget, but 42 TDs and 4,753 yards don't lie. And yes, that's more than Colt Brennan, and tied with Graham Harrell.
They lead Oklahoma 7-0 in the first quarter.
They aren't pass-exclusive, like Hawaii. They have Tarrion Adams (1,113 yards, 9 TDs).
They crushed Houston.
There is a distinct possibility that they could use their decent running game against Bowling Greens 107th ranked run defense, not ot mention Paul Smiths speedy legs.

Tulsa Disadvantages:
Conference USA had gone an atrocious 1-4 in bowl games this year.
They haven't beaten a good opponent all season, and even lost to UTEP by a point.
They have shown little adaptibility, losing to UCF twice by virtually the same score.
I'd daresay they have less depth than BGSU, simply because they haven't been as good for as long.
Their defense is ranked 111th.


Bowling Green Advantages:
They've beaten a Big Tenn opponent in Minnesota, and played respectably against Michigan State and Boston College.
Their defense is ranked 78th, and while not spectacular, is much more respectable than Tulsas.
Their QB, Tyler Sheehan, has 3,123 yards and 23 TDs. Not quite Paul Smith numbers, but very good nonetheless.
They are 29th in Pass Defense, with their Safety, P.J. Mahone, having 220 INT return yards, tied for first in the nation.


Bowling Green Disadvantages:
The Mid-American Conference only submitted 3 teams to bowls, and the other two (Ball State and Central Michigan) have lost handily.
Lost a couple crappers at Ohio and Miami of Ohio.
Sheehan relies a lot on Freddie Barnes, so if he goes out, so may Bowling Greens chances of victory.
Almost no running game to speak of, with 2 Running Backs who have about 500 yards a piece.

Writer Predictions:

Jason Frost: TBA

OKLueschen: TBA

Zorgon: Tulsa. While both are very similarly styled teams, and played very similar conference schedules, the fact is that Tulsa just played that much better. They had better numbers offensively, only have one bad loss (rather than two, like Bowling Green) and actually have a running game to speak of. Even in a bad conference, 42 TDs don't lie, and Bowling Greens balence just may be their demise. And hey, as I mentioned earlier, Tulsa could open it up a lot on the ground against the atrocious Bowling Green run defense. As for Bowling Green taking advantage of Tulsa's defense, well, they've been facing those defenses all year, and couldn't light it up as good as Tulsa has. Tulsa in a 50 pointish game that ends in the 3rd quarter.

Bottom Line: Tulsa 1, Bowling Green 0

Saturday, January 5, 2008

Bowl Previews and Predictions: International Bowl

International Bowl


okluschen: Though I'm sure you live and die by the opinions of the fine writers here at AdonalObsessed, every once and awhile we like to flex our influence and invite a celebrity to be a guest writer on our blog. So, seeing as how this is the bowl played in Canada, we thought it would be appropriate to invite the Maple Leaf's most famous native. Unfortunately, Pamela Anderson was busy. So, we decided to book Canada's second favorite, please give it up for the one, the only, Dudley Do-Right!

Dudley: Why thank you. OK, it is an honor indeed. I am an avid reader of this blog, of course. I enjoy especially the many, many articles by my favorite writer, Jack Frost! This may come as a suprise to some of you, but I am a big fan of your American Football and considered the guru of my fantasy CFL league. I love the Toronto Argonauts and admire my signed Ricky Williams jersey, which I keep framed in Horse's stable, every day. Now, without further adieu, the International Bowl...

Zorgon: Background:
The two teams have met once, on Sept. 29, 1989. It was a 31-All tie. They played in an empty lot, but were kicked out by the landlord in the 3rd quarter, so finished the game in an empty parking lot. Needless to say, a lot has changed for these two programs since then.

Dudley:
Streak:
*Do not streak please, it is against Canadian law and a very distasteful habbit.
Ball State is on a two game winning streak
Rutgers lost it's last contest to Louisville

Ball State Eurekas!:
This is the best season these Cardinals have had since, I don't know, probably at least since my live-action movie flopped in '99.
It could quite possibly be the best passing attack in the entire Big MAC conference.
Played well against 3 BCS conference teams this season (Illinois who played in the Rose Bowl, Indiana who played in a bowl, and traditional power Nebraska)

Ball State Tiddlywinks:
Played in the cupcake MAC conference.
Have a poor rush defense, 99th in the nation.
Most impressive win...Navy? Now, if they had played the Mountie Academy, that would have been different. Yes, I love the Mountie Academy Midhorsemen. Come to think of it, I think they've got a game against Notre Dame next season...

Rutgers Eurekas!:
Ray Rice is a top notch running back, first in the Big East in Touchdowns and 3rd in the nation in rushing.
Bad news for the Ball State passing attack, the Rutgers pass defense is ranked second in the country, giving up only 160.58 yards per game in the air.
Greg Schiano can coach with the best of 'em and has the kind of loyalty and pride in Rutgers and Piscattaway, NJ that is compareable to my loyalty to the country, and God save the Queen...still...

Rutgers Tiddlywinks:
A very far drop off from last season's great run.
One of the worst punting teams in all of college football.
Run defense is a liability at times.

Writer's Predictions:
okluschen: Rutgers. Rutgers has the heavy talent edge here. I think the defense matches up well against Ball State. I also like how we always send such great teams to other countries to be our football ambassadors. 49ers, Dolphins, now Ball State.

Dudley Do-Right: Rutgers. Because Scarlet Knights could easily be a metaphor for Mounties. Speaking of symbolism, Ball State is sort of like the lovely Nell Fenwick in this matchup. Sure, you love 'em, but she's defenseless, and tied to the tracks.

Zorgon: Rutgers. While some would argue that the Big East is overrated, noone can argue that the Mid-American conference is overrated, because it's darn near the Sun Belt, and everyone knows it. It's a sheer mircale that Ball State has a winning record, much less in a bowl at all. Losses to Central Michigan, Nebraska, and Miami (of OHIO) do not translate well at all. Looking for power wins? Look no further than Central Michigan, Buffalo, Eastern Michigan, Toledo, Northern Illinois, Western Kentucky, and Navy. Aside from Navy, only Western Kentucky has a winning record (and they played all 1-AA teams and even a 1-AAA opponent). It can be argued that all of their wins came to teams who would be ranked in the triple digits (except Navy). Rutgers? Well, yeah, they completely fell apart, but they are not a stinking pile of trash, just a 15 year old refrigerator that leaks every so often. The ONLY reason Ball State is in this bowl is because of their close proximity to Canada. This is a travesty for everybody. I'm sure Troy would be happy to be in this bowl right now. Rutgers wins 86-0. At halftime, they call the game off. Okay, not really. But it'll be like 45-17.
Oh, I love Ball States logo though. It looks like it was made in the 80s.

Jason Frost: Rutgers. Ball State has a terrible run defence. Rutgers has a terific run offense. Rutgers wins big.

Bottom Line:
Rutgers 4, Ball State 0

Thursday, January 3, 2008

Bowl Previews and Predictions: Orange Bowl

Orange Bowl


Background:
The two teams have never met.

Kansas: Loss to Missouri after a tear through the scum of the Big 12
Virginia Tech: 5 Wins, including Florida and Boston College

Kansas Advantages:
They've proven they can handle some of the Big 12s Mid-Major teams.
Their coach is Mark Mangino. He likes Waffles. He is Coach of the Year.
In their only loss, their performance against Missouri was incredibly respectable.
They have no real stars....mostly a combination of everything at every position. Kind of the Opposite of Colt Brennan and his high flying offense.
That being said, Aqib Talib is a great corner (almost best defensive player of the year), and Todd Reesing (QB) has set 20 Kansas school records....but the team is reliant on neither too much.

Kansas Disadvantages:
They have not beaten anyone of significance, except a once 24th ranked Kansas State.
Their actual skill has been questioned. They got into the BCS without going to their conference championship game....essentially penalizing Missouri for doing so. However, it was mostly the Orange Bowls fault. Blame them!
Their schedule strength was....109th. In the nation.
They are a bit reliant on the pass.

Virginia Tech Advantages:
Power wins over Virginia, Boston College, and Clemson.
Their loss to Boston College was really just a fluke.
They have a top notch defense, rated Top-5 in sacks and interceptions in the nation.
They use a 2 Quarterback and Runningback system, so injuries won't affect them as much.
Their special teams have been ace, blocking 2 Field Goals in the ACC championship game against Boston College.
Their Kicker, Jud Dunlevy, has a .875 accuracy rating this season.

Virginia Tech Disadvantages:
They got crushed by LSU, which may siginify that they're high, but not elite just yet.
Anyone who watched the Boston College game knows that they can't play a 2 man rush late in games. The pass rush was almost like watching a game of tag between Bowser, Barney, and the Roadrunner. You know who's going to win.
The announcers will mention the Virginia Tech shootings 2,678 times.
The ACC is 2-5 in bowls this year.
They are without Branden Ore (RB) for the first quarter, and may be without 92-tackle Vince Hall, an All-ACC line backer (Questionable).

Writer Predictions:

Jason Frost: TBA

OKLuschen: TBA

Zorgon: Kansas. What it's really going to come down to is if the cornerback duo of Brandon Flowers and Victor Harris can stop Reesings 32 TD pass game. Even though Kansas Lost, Reesing had an excellent game against Missouri (2 TDs, 2 INTs, he rushed in a TD). And I'm pretty sure he can pull it off against the secondary of Virginia Tech. The Kansas offense will become one-dimentional pretty fast, because with such bad of a schedule and only a decent rushing attack, I'm pretty sure it'll get shut down. On the other side of the ball, Virginia tech will probobly have to rely on it's run, with Kansas stronger corners shutting the Tech pass down. All in all, this will probably be the best bowl game (Yes, better than Ohio State-LSU, and yes, even better than the International and GMAC bowls). This ripsnorter ends 30-27, Kansas.

Bottom Line: Kansas 1, Virginia Tech 0

Wednesday, January 2, 2008

Bowl Previews and Predictions: Fiesta Bowl

Fiesta Bowl

Background: Oklahoma leads the All-Time series, 2-1. They have not met since 1987.


Streak:
Oklahoma has won two straight, including the last in the Big XII Championsjip Game in San Antonio.
West Virginia is coming off a heart-breaking loss to Pittsburgh.

Oklahoma Advantages:
Sam Bradford could be a legend-in-making in Norman. He's the most efficient QB in the nation and if he doesn't go down against Texas Tech, OU could be squaring off against the Buckeyes in the Championship.
Malcolm Kelly is one of the best wideouts in program history and will be a star on Sundays.
OU has seen better defenses, but this unit is still as solid as ever. Auston English is a beast of a defensive end, and there may have been no bigger All-American snub than Curtis Lofton at linebacker.
The Sooners have one of the biggest defensive lines in the country, led by All-American Duke Robinson and the behemoth himself, Phil Loadholt.

Oklahoma Disadvantages:
Let's be honest, the team itself is perfect, so I'll just talk about possibile distractions.
OU hasn't won a BCS game since the 2003 Rose Bowl against WASSU, lost three straight since then.
Retard defensive tackle DeMarcus Granger (I think he might be related to Danny Granger, but I'm not certain) won't be playing in this game virtue to his shoplifting at a Pheonix area Burlington Coat Factory.
One of the nation's most talented secondaries will be depleted of some of it's key players, as Reggie Smith is injured and Lendy Holmes is academically ineligible.

West Virginia Advantages:
The Mountaineers could, quite possibly, be the fastest team in Division I football.
Owen Schmidt, Pat White, and Steve Slaton (or Schwhiteton as I like to say) make up one of the best, most versatile backfields in the nation.
They have a balanced, fast defense that makes plays all over the field.
Noel Devine and Darius Reynaud could be the best playmakers you've never heard of.

West Virginia Disadvantages:
Frustration in Morgantown, as yet another coach leaves for the Michigan job in less tahn a year's time.
Though I think that Pat White has an under-rated arm, the Mountaineers are certainly a one-dimensional team offensively.
They have crumbled in the big game, not once, but twice this season. Also, looking down the schedule for some impressive wins, and I got what? Rutgers? Cincinnati?
Probably disappointed, thinking they were headed to the C'hip before the Pittsburgh fiasco.

Writer's Predictions:
okluschen: Oklahoma. Gotta go with my boys here. They've got the talent edge and the only coach they're worried about replacing is Kevin Sumlin (a positional coach for those of you who don't know), for cryin' out loud. Would be worried about the secondary if it wasn't WVA. Since it is, I got the Sooners in a preview for next years championship run.

Zorgon: Oklahoma. Look, I'm trying to take off my Sooner coloured glasses here. These are two very good, very equal football programs. Both suffered hard losses to inferior competition (OU lost to Colorado, WVU lost to Pitt) and OK losses to OK competition (OU lost to Texas Tech, WVU lost to South Florida). Both have powerful, intimidating defenses and excellent offenses. But, the fact is, West Virginias coach ran away to Michigan beefore a BCS bowl, which has to be incredibly demoralizing to the team. Bob Stoops, on the other hand....will probobly coach the Sooners until I die, until he gets an offer from the NFL, or gets and offer from Indiana while getting caught in a NCAA rules violation involving calling players too many times. So, the upper hand has to go to OU, simply because of that. I say the final score is 36-30, Oklahoma, OT.

Jason Frost: Oklahoma. OU has a better offense, better defense, better special teams, play in a stronger conference, and have a better/existant coach. OU big.

Bottom Line: Oklahoma 3, West Virginia 0

Tuesday, January 1, 2008

Bowl Previews and Predictions: Sugar Bowl

Sugar Bowl

Background:
The two teams have never met.


Georgia: 6 game win streak, including wins over Florida, Auburn, and Kentucky
Hawaii: 12 Game Winning Streak over everything

Georgia Advantages:
Georgia has reason to beat Hawaii....to make sure that they don't become the next Boise State.
They faced a much tougher schedule, beating 4 ranked opponents along the way.
They have a very promising Freshman runner in Knowshon Moreno. He finished 2nd in SEC rushing.
They have a combo in the backfield, with vet Thomas Brown playing alongside Moreno.
It's not hard to get to New Orleans from Georgia....they'll outnumber the Hawaii fans 10-1. Or more.
As with pretty much every SEC team, they have a good defense.


Georgia Disadvantages:
Losses to South Carolina and Tennessee, both winnable games from Georgias standpoint.
Georgia could possibly treat this game as a "letdown game", having not reached the BCS championship.
Their pass offense is ranked 84th.

Hawaii Advantages:
They won all 11 of their games.
Most were won pretty handily, although a couple were unnessessarily close calls.
They have one of the best offenses in the nation, with Heisman Caliber QB Colt Brennan throwing to 3 recievers who all rank in the top 8 in the nation in receptions per game, and have all surpassed the 1000 yard mark.
Utah and Boise State won, so if Hawaii could win, it would make the case for a playoff even stronger.
It's their first trip out of Hawaii since the 1992 Holiday Bowl, so they're excited to say the least.


Hawaii Disadvantages:
There's no way more than 1,000 fans make it across the Atlantic Ocean and into the Bayou of New Orleans.
Of course, Hawaii has played noone good besides Boise State (upset by ECU). It's not nessessarily their fault, though....noone wants to come to Hawaii from some reason (although when you really think about it, it sounds silly.)
None of the team (except Colt Brennan) has even SEEN a good football team, much less a BCS worthy one.
Their defense is is nothing special....and that's against weak teams.
Their running offense is 113th in Division I. Yeah, safe to say they'll be passing a lot.


Writer Predictions:


Jason Frost: TBA


OKLuschen: TBA


Zorgon: Hawaii. Okay, okay, all signs point to Georgia, but if Hawaii can just stop the run, they've got it made. Georgias defense may be good, but I'm sure Hawaii's Triple-WR passing attack can torch it. This could become a big time scorefest if Hawaii gets the pass going and Georgia gets its run going, which I'm sure will both happen. So, key for both teams: Stop the other teams run/pass. And, hey we need playoffs! Not Bowls! Go Hawaii! (Win in OT)

Bottom Line: Georgia 0, Hawaii 1

Bowl Previews and Predictions: Rose Bowl



Background:USC leads series 10-2

Illonois has won its last 4
USC has won its last 4

Illinois advantages:
They beat the number one team in the country
They are 5th in the nation in rushing being led by Rashard Mendenhall and Juice
Michigan beat Florida so the PAC 10 looks stronger then expected
They have the 19th best total defense in the country
They have a QB named Juice

Illinois disadvantages:
They have a sub par passing game
This is their first bowl in 6 years so inexperience could be a factor
As the 13th ranked team in the country they are lucky to be in a BCS game

USC advantages:
Since their loss to Stanford they are 6-1 and +103 in points
They have a fantastic offense putting up no less then 17 points all season
They have allowed the 4th fewest points in the D1
They are USC meaning they have experience, are well coached, and are extremely talented

USC disadvantages:
They lost to the Christmas Tess which could haunt USC only a week after Christmas
Despite their offense being consistent they are not in the top ten in any offensive categories
Chess Comparison:USC is Vladimir Kramnik who is a fantastic defender and used to winning, Illinois is Magnus Carlsen, the 17 year old prodigy who is getting closer and closer to joining the elite.

Projections:
Jason Frost:USC. Despite Florida's loss to Michigan, I am still not certain about the PAC TEN. This match up looks to be a mismatch with one of the hottest teams in the country, that has proven their ability to stop the run playing against the team that should not be in the BCS and has no passing attack. Look for the experienced Trojans to win big 31-14.
Zorgon: Illinois. USC has looked weak to me all season, and Illinois has a guy named Juice Williams! Juice Williams! That alone is enough to win. In all reality, if Illinois can get their offense going, I'm sure they can beat the stumbling USC, who is oozing with talent every which direction.
Bottom Line: USC 1, Illinois 1

Bowl Previews and Predictions: Gator Bowl

Gator Bowl



Background:
The two teams have never met.

Streak:
Tech is coming off a monster victory over Oklahoma
Virginia lost it's last game to in-state rival Va. Tech.

Texas Tech Advantages:
As always, Texas Tech will enter this game with the number one passing attack in the country.
Michael Crabtree is arguably the best receiver in the nation, and this as only a freshman. The kid's got speed and hands, kind of a Santana Moss-type.
Texas Tech is the only team in the Big XII to be above .500 each of the last 12 seasons.

Texas Tech Disadvantages:
The defense is nothing special. Not bad, but certainly not good either.
One of the most one dimensional teams in the country. They give teams chances in the fourth quarter 'cause they can't run the ball.

Virginia Advantages:
They feature a stout, aggresive defense, led by All-American Chris Long (son of Raiders great Howie Long)
QB Jameel Sewell has shown much improvement towards the end of the season.
Virginia has certainly shown the ability to win the close one, winning six of their games by 7 or less, two of those by 3 or less and three of those by 1!

Virginia Disadvantages:
Their ability to win the close one could most likely be just luck.
The offense is nothing special and, at times, has been down right futile.
A loss to Wyoming and a two point win against Middle Tennessee State...interesting...

Writer's Predicitions:
okluschen: Texas Tech. The Cavaliers simply can't keep pace with high flyin' Red Raider offense. The Cavs have been very fortunate in many games this season. Give Jameel Sewell a couple more years to mature and then we'll talk, but for now, I like Harrell and Crabtree.

Jason Frost: TBA

Zorgon: Texas Tech. Virginia is just a lucky duck. Too many close calls. Well, Texas Tech has pretty much sucked it up too, but they are 1st ranked overall in passing offense, and second in total offense. They can surely run against the best, and the Harrell-Crabtree combination (that even I knew the name of before reading this preview) is ace. However, if Virginia can somehow stop Texas Techs passing game (possible, their defense is a respectable #35), they will have pretty much have stopped the whole team (texas Techs run game is ranked DEAD LAST). But, if OU couldn't stop them, I doubt Virginia will. Texas Tech big.

Bottom Line: Texas Tech 2, Virginia 1

Bowl Previews and Predictions: Outback Bowl

Outback Bowl

Background:
Tennessee leads the Series, 1-0. The game was the Garden State Bowl, in 1981.

Tennessee: Loss to LSU after a 5 game win streak
Wisconsin: Wins at Michigan and Minnesota

Tennessee Advantages:
All of their losses were to opponents in the top 12 (at the time of play), excluding Alabama.
Took care of business in the SEC, finishing 2nd.
They were essentially a couple plays away from being a BCS team. That's where 'BAMA come back to bite ya.
Have a very well established caoch in Fulmer, been there since 1992.
Solid running game, Adrian foster has 1,162 yards and 12 TDs.

Tennessee Disadvantages:
They will be missing 1 of their 2 main recievers (Lucas Taylor) among 5 other players, 2 of them starters (LB, DT).
Have a ho-hum defense that is missing two players.

Wisconsin Advantages:
Has defeated the SEC in bowls each of the past two seasons.
Bad boy Lance Smith-Williams might light it up in his first game outside of Madison (due to violating team policy).
They have a defense that is more than decent enough to beat Tennessees reciever-less offense.

Wisconsin Disadvantages:
Kind of sputtered along the stretch with ho-hum losses to Penn State and Michigan.
Comes out of a weak Big 10 conference.
Probobly are without 1080 yard and 18 TD Runningback P.J. Hill.

Writer Predictions:

Jason Frost: TBA

OKLuschen: TBA

Zorgon: Tennessee. As I go on, it's harder and harder to find big disadvantages to these teams, since they become increasingly good and less one-dimensional. Still, in this matchup, all signs point to Tennessee. Wisconsin had the weaker schedule and has no running back while Tennessee was a smidgen away from having a BCS berth. This team got kinda screwed like Missouri did-losing out for playing in a conference championship game. Tennessee in an extremely close one.

Bottom Line: Tennessee 1, Wisconsin 0

Monday, December 31, 2007

Bowl Previews and Predictions: Capital One Bowl



Background:Michigan's 38-30 win in the 2003 Outback Bowl is the only game the two teams have played

Michigan:Lost last game to Ohio State
Florida:Won past four games, the last one against FSU

Florida Advantages:
They played in the title game last year and have many players on the squad who played in last years game
All of their games have been competitive and their looses have all come to currently ranked opponents(including two teams in BCS games)
Urban Meyer is 4-0 in bowls
Tim Tebow was voted the best player in the country
4th in the nation in total offense
Have allowed the 9th fewest rushing yards a game

Florida Disadvantages:
They have a mid level defense
They only have 1 win against a currently ranked opponent

Michigan Advantages:
Lloyd Carr is leaving after the end of the season they will be motivated
They could easily be 10-2 if they came out of the gate quicker
Their only two losses, excluding the first 2 games of the season, have come against currently ranked teams
This will be Mike Harts last game, so we can expect to see an amazing performance from him
They are 23d in the nation in total defense

Michigan Disadvantages:
They have only 1 win against a currently ranked opponent
They lost to Appalachian State, although they would probably be a bowl team if they played in D1.
They play in the relatively weak PAC 10
Have lost 4 straight bowl games

Chess Comparison:Florida is Teimour Radjabov, the relatively young player who usually contends for the world crown. Michigan is Boris Gelfand, one of the oldest players, who is none the less very strong and very solid defensively.

Writer Projections:

Jason Frost: Florida. Florida is yet again one of the top teams in the nation, and again have tremendous offense. They will have no problem with the team that lost to Appalachian State. Look for Michigan to come out strong, yet not have enough offense to keep up. Florida by 3 TDs.
OKLuschen: TBA
Zorgon: Florida. Someone decided to put the #9 ranked team with a Heisman winning Quarterback in a bowl with a coachless non-ranked team, far from its glory days and part of the biggest upset in College Football history? Do the math, people. Mismatches galore, Florida runs all over Michigan. Let's hope this never happens again.

Bottom Line: Florida 2, Michigan 0

Bowl Previews and Predictions: Insight Bowl

Insight Bowl

Background: The series is tied at 0-0-1. The game was played in 1930. We'll have to look at this 7-7 tie pretty closely to determine the outcome of this bowl game.


Indiana: Win against Purdue
Oklahoma State: Loss to Oklahoma


Indiana Advantages:
They are playing in the memory of their lost coach, Terry Hoeppner. His dream was to get to a bowl, and they did, for the first time since 1993.
Their Kicker, Austin Starr, kicked them into this bowl with a win over Old Oaken Bucket Rival, Purdue.
They have an All-Star wideout in James Hardy. 75 catches, 1,075 yards, and 16 touchdowns is nothing to sneeze at, even in the Big 10. He has more touchdowns than most quarterbacks!
To compensate for their passing game, they have a moblie Quarterback in Kellen Lewis, who ran for more TDs (8) than the runningback. He has also thrown for 26 TDs and 10 INTs.


Indiana Disadvantages:
The Big 10 is a weaker conference, and has been under much scrutiny.
They lost to a poo Northwestern team, and won the Purdue game almost by sheer will.
Statistically, their offense and defense is kind of muddled in the early 60s.
Their running game is OK, but not nearly as potent as their passing game.


Oklahoma State Advantages:
They come out of what is arguably a stronger conference.
QB Zac Robinson has really come on as a star, throwing for 20 TDs in a tough Big 12.
Aside from their great passing game, Dantrell Savage helps them a lot by leading the Big 12 in rushing yardage. He even had a 108 yard game against the tough Oklahoma D.
A lot of the games they faced were virtually unwinnable. I'd hate to face 3 BCS teams and Texas.
They have 4 go to recievers, which gives them a real spread-out passing attack.

Oklahoma State Disadvantages:
Suffered a then incredibly embarrassing loss to Troy.
The NFL Network will probobly play the Mike Gundy press conference 22 times during the game.
They have an atrocious defense, ranked 103rd in the nation.


Writer Predictions:


Jason Frost: TBA


OKLuschen: TBA


Zorgon: Indiana. Mike Gundy himself said that the teams who win Bowl games are the ones who want to be there more, and I couldn't agree more wholeheartedly. Indiana is playing in the memory of a coach who just died, and who was cheering for the team until the very end of his life. Oklahoma State, meanwhile, is trudging to another medicore bowl while reciecing waaaay too much money from Boone Pickens. They know they deserve more, and I just don't know if they care. Oh, and their defense is worse than Toledos. Oklahoma State is better, but I say Indiana wins a very close, very offensive game by sheer willpower.

Bottom Line: Indiana 1, Oklahoma State 0

Bowl Previews and Predictions: Humanitarian Bowl

Humanitarian Bowl

Background:
Fresno State leads the series 1-0, with a Silicon Valley Classic victory on Dec. 31st, 2002.

Georgia Tech: Loss to Georgia
Fresno State: Wins at Kansas State and New Mexico State

Georgia Tech Advantages:
Has beaten a powerful Clemson team.
They were just a smidgen away from beating Maryland and Virginia.
They pride themselves on a 12th ranked defense.
The players will want to put on a good impression for their new coach, Paul Johnson. Especially the offense.
Tashard Choice dominated the ACC in rushing....athough that might not say much.
Their defensive coordinator is running the team....which will probobly make the defense really good.

Georgia Tech Disadvantages:
Aside from the Clemson win, their other wins were either over Division II or non-bowl opponents.
The ACC is an incredibly easy football conference.
Their coach got booted after losing 6 straight years to Georgia.
Playing in the Deep South, some of the players have never even seen snow, and they may just have to play in it.

Fresno State Advantages:
They've beaten a Big 12 opponent, Kansas State.
Fresno State has had recent post season success, and has won more than one Humanitarian Bowl before.
They played then ranked Texas A&M close, and have only been blown out by Oregon.
They are an incredibly balenced team, not relying on one superstar to do everything like a lot of mid-major bowl teams.
The QB, Tom Brandstater, has had a decent season.

Fresno State Disadvantages:
They have beaten 0, that's right, 0 Bowl eligible teams.
Neither their offense nor defense really stand out statistically speaking.
All of their statistics should be looked at skeptically given their easy schedule.

Writer Predictions:

Jason Frost: TBA

OKLuschen: TBA

Zorgon: Georgia Tech. Fresno State is really only in a bowl because the WAC needed a 3rd horse. It was really a two team conference this year, and now that one of those top dogs (Boise State) has been embarrassed, what makes me think the distant 3rd place bulldogs will win? Georgia Tech is not a great team by any means, but they're probobly in the Top 35. I will give Fresno some credit though, as they have played a lot of games close. There is a distinct possibility of upset, but I think I'm gonna have to go with the overdogs by a 10 point or so margin.

Georgia Tech 1, Fresno State 0

Saturday, December 29, 2007

Bowl Previews and Predictions: Cotton Bowl

Cotton Bowl

(Zorgon's Note: Yes, the picture is relevant. TIGER Woods, holding the BACK of a RAZOR.)

Streak:
Arkansas has won their last two

Missouri dropped its last game to Oklahoma in the Big XII Championship game.

Arkansas Advantages:
Sorry Reggie, but Darren McFadden and Adrian Peterson are the two baddest dudes I've ever seen running the football on the college level. He's simply the best prospect available in the upcoming draft.

They've got four wins against bowl eligible teams this season, including LSU, who'll be playing for the national title.

Don't forget about Felix Jones, he's terribly overshadowed by McFadden and he himself could challenge for the Heisman nect season.

Arkansas Disadvantages:
Uh, let's try Mike Conley Sr. If his SUV costs DMac his eligibility, than the Razorbacks can kiss the cotton bowl goodbye.

Coaching turmoil, with Houston Nutt gone and of course the Bobby Petrino distraction looming.

The defense is not up to par with the usual SEC standards.

Missouri Advantages:
We all know how good Chase Daniel has been this season. The big Tex is dengerous both in and out of the pocket. He also ranks 4th in the nation in total offense.

Speaking of offense there are more playmakers than just Daniel for Missouri. Freshman Jeremy Maclin has explosive speed and is the tigers go-to guy on the outside and on the reverse. They also have the best TE duo in the country, with Martin Rucker and Chase Coffman. Tony Temple, though doesn't run often, makes plays when he's callded upon.

Only team with two wins over two BCS schools.

Missouri Disadvantages:
Chase Daniel and crew have the tendancy to choke off the big game. CHase Daniel gets frustrated easily, as evidenced by his behavior in the Big XII Championship.

Not so sharp in the secondary, giving up 261.46 yards per game.

Could be very disapointed after having the chance to play in New Orleans fot the title, and settling for Dallas and the Cotton.

Writer Picks:
okluschen: If McFadden plays, then I got the Razorbacks, but if he doesn't, Missouri steamrolls. McFadden is not only capable of winning entire games by himself, but has done it several times before. However, with no McFadden, there goes 3/4s of their playbook including the entire Wild Hog formation. It all depends on if the stud plays.

Zorgon: Missouri. With all honesty, this team should be in the BCS. Being punished for going to the Big XII title game? Puh-leaze. Darren McFadden Scharem McShmadden, Chase Daniel was closer to winning the Heisman than he was. Arkansas has come up big in wins against LSU and South Carolina, but if you look at their schedule, its full of Florida International, North Texas, Mississippi, and Chattanooga type games which are prime for pumping Mr.McFaddens stats. Missouri proves it's place.

Jason Frost: TBA

Bottom Line: Arkansas .5, Missouri 1.5

Friday, December 28, 2007

Bowl Previews and Predictions: Chick-Fil-A Bowl

Chick-Fil-A Bowl



Streak:
Auburn: Won it's last contest vs Alabama

Clemson: Won it's last vs South Carolina

Auburn Advantages:
As usual, The Tigers have one of the toughest defenses in the country. They can hang with anybody.

Had an awesome win against Florida and shoulda knocked off LSU, except Les Miles is an evil genius.

Auburn Disadvantages:
Other than the Gators, Tommy Tuberville hasn't done too much this season.

The offense is as stanky as Mark Mangino's bathroom after Mexican night.

Clemson Advantages:
Cullen Harper has come from out of nowhere to become one of the best QBs in the ACC.

Though Clemson may play in the ACC, they certainly have an SEC quality defense, top 10 in the nation.

They've won 5 of their last six, scoring 42.8 points per game in those wins. 4 of those 5 came against bowl eligible teams. The only loss in that strech was by three to a good Boston College team.

Clemson Disadvantages:
As always, Tommy Bowden is in the fans' hot seat.

They seem to have trouble protecting the QB, allowing 2.67 sacks per game this season.

Writer's Predictions:
okluschen: Clemson. These teams have a lot in common. Both are called the Tigers. Both have coaches named Tommy. Both have elite college defenses. However, Clemson does have the upper hand, in that they have the better offense by far. Expect Clemson to win the slug fest, with the point total not exceeding 24.

Zorgon: Auburn. The SEC is probably the toughest conference in the land, and Auburn has been a trooper. They have a bad loss to Mississippi State, but comeon, Clemson? They have no power wins, and really have no place being ranked #15. Auburn torches Clemson, and then eats them for dinner. Then, they reheat Clemson in the microwave and eats the rest for breakfast.

Jason Frost: TLC

Bottom Line: Clemson 2, Auburn 0.

Bowl Previews and Predictions: Music City Bowl

Music City Bowl


Background: Florida State leads the series, 3-1-1. They have not met since 1965.

Kentucky: 2 Losses to Georgia and Tennessee
Florida State: Loss to Florida

Kentucky Advantages:
They have a pro-ready Quarterback in Andre Woodson.
They have a top 25 passing offense.

Kentucky Disadvantages:
They really started falling apart once they faced tough competition.
Their defense leaves something to be desired.
Really nothing stands out besides Andre Woodson.

Florida State Advantages:
This could be Bobby Bowden's second-to-last season, so the team does have SOME motivation to win.
Drew Weatheford isn't pretty, but he's surely not interception prone. He will probobly not have trouble with this defense.

Florida State Disadvantages: Well, for one, they'll be missing a lot of players. However, it should be noted that the offense is mostly intact, and the main losses are backups, Cornerback Patrick Robinson (6 INTs), and Linebacker Dekota Watson. So, they'll have big trouble defending against Kentuckys potent offense, expecially with an already bad pass defense.
They could have come off decently had they won a couple of easy games at Wake Forest and Miami.
I know I point to it all of the time, but their season was the 3rd straight of dissapointment for a once proud college.

Writer Predictions:

Jason Frost: TBA

OKLuschen: TBA

Zorgon: Kentucky. All signs are pointing to a shootout, and while their defenses may be equal (now that Florida State has lost 2 key players, they are) their offenses aren't. Kentucky will win big. A Florida State win is only possible

Bottom Line: Kentucky 1, Florida State 0

Thursday, December 27, 2007

Bowl Previews and Predictions: Armed Forces Bowl

Armed Forces Bowl

Background:
Cal Leads the series, 5-2. Have not met since 2002, when Cal won.

Air Force: 3 Wins
California: 3 Losses

Air Force Advantages:
The Mountain West has gone 3-0 in bowls this year.
Found their running attacks stride late in the season to already coombine with the already deadly air attack (Irony!).
Looks to have a bright future.

Air Force Disadvantages:
Has not faced a ranked team all year.
Whenever faced with a halfway decent team, has crumbled. Best wins over Utah and TCU.

California Advantages:
Had a 5 game win streak to start off the season.
Beaten Tennessee and Oregon.
Has a lot more talent than Air Force.
The loss of their #1 reciever, DeSean Jackson, may explain the Stanford loss.

California Disadvantages:
Are on a terrible skid after being considered BCS-worthy. (Losses to Stanford and Washington.)
Their quarterback (Nate Longshore) has been known to make dumb mistakes. Also has a chipped ankle bone, limiting his explosiveness.
The Pac-10 has done terrible in bowls this season.
Just seem to have given up in general. From Yahoo! Sports: ""This is definitely a new low for us," Cal safety Thomas DeCoud said after the loss. "It's kind of too late to salvage anything, but we just want to get to a bowl game and end on the right note so the younger guys can get this program back to where it was.""

Writer Predictions:

Jason Frost: TBA

OKLuschen: TBA

Zorgon: Air Force. The analysis is short on this one because the bowl is simple as pie. Cal is lucky to be in a bowl at all. Their players are banged up. Their heads are hung low. Air Force is coming in with their heads held high out of a surprisingly strong Mountain West. The only way I could see a Cal upset (yes, a Cal upset, Air Force should definately be the favourites) is if they win by sheer talent and/or depth. Air Force wins using excellent arial attacks and bombs out the competition. (IRONY!!!!)

Bottom Line: Air Force 1, California 0

Bowl Previews and Predictions: Sun Bowl

Sun Bowl


Streak:
Oregon is on a three game losing streak
South Florida is on a three game winning streak

Oregon Advantages:
Jonathan Stewart makes plays running, catching, and returning kicks. He's a true speed demon and an all-Pac-10 performer.

The Ducks bring good pressure, they're 14th in the nation in sacks and 1st in the nation in tackles for loss.

They're 12th in the nation in total offense!*

Oregon Disadvantages:
*Well, they're only missing the best multi-purpose QB since Vince Young. This O ain't squat without Dennis Dixon. On top of that, they're down to their 5th stringer at QB.

A three game losing streak, they're as cold as tundra.

South Florida Advantages:
The former number 2 team in the nation

Trae Williams and Mike Jenkins are an elite duo at corner. To add to this is Ben Moffit at linebacker, a truely bruttle force both against the run and the pass.

Great wins against Auburn, West Virginia, and UCF

South Florida Disadvantages:
They certainly aren't the second best team in the nation, never have been, and maybe never will be.

Matt Grothe is a risk taker at QB. He's got a 13-12 TD-Int ratio.

Writer's Picks:
okluschen: South Florida. Though I think that Oregon will be somewhat improved on offense for this game, they've done more than prove that they can't win without their star player. South Florida has had a historic year for their program, and I think they'll top the kings of Nike.
P.S. Don't hurt your eyes watching these two teams color schemes.

Zorgon: South Florida. Oregon is full of quitters, as evidenced by their 3 game slide. They always slip on a banana peel, but unlike other teams who just get back up, they fall down a waterfall. I don't care if South Florida had a coupel questionable losses, the fact is they beat West Virginia and Auburn, which should be more than enough for the Oregon Quitters. Oh, and they don't have Dennis Dixon. Riiiight.
P.S. Green and Gold is an awesome colour scheme!!!!

Jason Frost: TBA

Bottom Line: South Florida 2, Oregon 0

Bowl Previews and Predictions: Independence Bowl

Independence Bowl


Background:
The two teams have never met.

Colorado: Win at Nebraska
Alabama: 4 Straight Losses

Colorado Advantages:
They beat Oklahoma.
They have a knack for comebacks, but this may only show people how badly they always start off.
Sometimes, their offense clicks quite well.
They have a very good running back (Hugh Charles). However, it remains to be seen if the O-Line can open any holes for him.
Their kicker can be clutch (Oklahoma game).

Colorado Disadvantages:
Their offensive line is an abhorration. In some games earlier this season, they had to call a shotgun formation on every play, because if they didn't, the Quarterback would be sacked. And no, they didn't run it either.
It can be argued that Cody Hawkins (Colorado QB) would never have seen the light of day if his Dad (Dan Hawkins) was not coach of his football team.
Aside from their win at Oklahoma, their terrible losses outplay their so-so wins. Loss to Iowa State? Comeon.
They have never blown out a team, except for Baylor (And Baylor has beaten football powerhouses such as Texas State! Buffalo! Even Rice!)
Colorado State is beating Colorado in many categories....hell, maybe they're even better than Colorado. Colorado only beat them by a field goal.

Alabama Advantages:
Solid wins over Tennessee, Houston, and Arkansas (when they were ranked.)
Every single loss was winnable. This team just had a few (more than a few) bad bounces their way. A few catches here and there, and this team could be in the BCS.
They'll probobly have a lot of fans making the trip.
Alabamas defense has a good chance of stopping Colorados rollercoaster offense.
If they can complete a few passes, they can beat Colorados 102-ranked pass defense.

Alabama Disadvantages:
Just completely collapsed at the end of the season, with losses to Louisiana-Monroe and Mississippi State.
This team simply hasn't been able to finish their business in the games and in their schedule.....and we can only wonder about the bathroom.
The whole season has been a Titanic dissapointment.

Writer Predictions:

Jason Frost: TBA

OKLuschen: TBA

Zorgon: Alabama. Colorado really hasn't gotten a lot going this season. Sometimes records do lie, and Colorado scratched and clawed their way to a 6-6 season while Alabama slipped a couple steps to get there. On top of that, Alabama has Colorados number in pretty much every facet of the game.

Bottom Line: Colorado 0, Alabama 1

Wednesday, December 26, 2007

Bowl Previews and Predictions: Liberty Bowl

Liberty Bowl


Streak:
Central Florida is on a 7 game win streak
Mississippi State won it's last game, it was the Egg Bowl against Ole Miss

Central Florida Advantages:
Let's see, I hear this Kevin Smith guy is alright. He's put together a modest 188 YPG and 30 TDs this season. In all seriousness, this gut should've been watching the Heisman ceremonies from New York. I'd be pissed, but is he? Let's ask Kevin. "We've got a conference championship. I'll take that over a Heisman any day. The conference championship trophy doesn't have anybody's individual name on it -- it only has the name of your team." Seems well grounded to me.

They absolutely tore through Conference USA, winning their last 7 by an average of 17 points per game.

Central Florida Disadvantages:
Pretty one dimensional on the offensive side of the ball.

The pass defense has been bad, giving up almost 250 yards a game.

The competition in Conference USA has been a lot better than it is this season.

Haven't seen an SEC quality defense all season, except maybe when they played USF, a game in which they were crushed.

Mississippi State Advantages:
The defense is very salty, 10th in the nation in pass defense and 28th in total defense.

I really think that Sylvester Croom is a top notch coach. Evidence A) Mississippi State is actually in a bowl, B) his name is Sylvester (OK, so I made up B)

Were able to somehow survive the bloodthirsty SEC with a .500 record in conference

Mississippi State Disadvantages:
Little (as in none at all) bowl experience by anyone on the team.

I just got a call from Rex Grossman, and he says that this offense is disgusting. That means it must be bad, and it is. Barely over 300 yards per game on offense.

Writer Predictions:

okluschen: UCF. I like MSU, but I think the Bulldogs are outmatched by UCF here. Kevin Smith is a once in a lifetime player, and Miss State couldn't move the ball out of a paper sack.

Zorgon: Mississippi State. Whenever faced with a stout defense, UCF has, put simply, crumbled like a bun in the hands of Arnold Schwarzenegger. Meanwhile, MSU has faced ranked opponents in HALF of their games, has quality wins over Auburn and Kentucky, and only has one loss to a non-ranked opponent (Auburn). Defense wins championships, and Mississippi State wins handily over the Conference USA creampuffs who barely lost to a poopoo Texas team and to run-reliant ECU.

Jason Frost: TBA

Bottom Line: UCF 1, Mississippi State 1

Bowl Previews and Predictions: Alamo Bowl



Background:
The series is tied, 1-1.
Penn State: Loss to Michigan State

Texas A&M: Win against Texas


Penn State Advantages:
All looses have been close(excluding the loss to Ohio State) and to teams currently in bowl games

They have the 8th best defense in Devision 1, only giving up 18 points a game.
They have a balanced offense

They want a want to win it fo Jo Pa who will be coaching his 500th game with Penn State.
Penn State Disadvantages:
They have a lousy passing game, passing for only 212 yards a game.

Texas A&M Advantages:
They will be playing virtually at home

They are coming of a big, 38-30, win against Texas
They have the 14th best rushing attack in the country

Their QB is dangerous both passing and running.

Texas A&M Disadvantages:
They will be playing without their coach

They have a lousy defense

They have a lousy mascot(need to give who dey a call)
Writer Predictions:
Jason Frost: Penn. State, Texas A&M has a lousy defense and an inconcistant offense and they give up more yards then they put up. Look for Penn State to score often and win by a couple of tds.

OKLuschen: TBA
Zorgon: Penn State. Texas A&M has been pathetic all season, especially in that game against Miami. And the Coach Fran fiasco has only contributed to the woes. Although I don't think Penn State is too hot, I'll take them.

Bottom Line: Penn State 2, Texas A&M 0, Ketchupless Spaghetti 3